Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 1054.586515 1212.953797 1396.249017 1626.295071 1910.463378 2254.238068 2.708236e+03
2024-10-06 840.810860 1041.222381 1298.558610 1661.877568 2176.584090 2904.753820 4.063267e+03
2024-10-13 708.709430 913.384492 1191.727004 1612.440309 2260.484720 3275.442994 5.115998e+03
2024-10-20 619.371391 823.448886 1113.862963 1577.909013 2345.091198 3659.720677 6.355911e+03
2024-10-27 545.528094 742.388525 1032.352461 1516.149215 2362.639101 3926.037345 7.499497e+03
2024-11-03 514.327550 718.108802 1029.985893 1576.561495 2598.487661 4666.008365 1.010112e+04
2024-11-10 483.461863 689.747601 1015.920728 1612.541458 2796.380923 5404.256027 1.328653e+04
2024-11-17 455.688963 662.575182 999.296045 1639.519888 2982.037238 6192.826806 1.740165e+04
2024-11-24 423.102971 624.069256 958.433544 1613.506720 3048.579282 6719.896262 2.125530e+04
2024-12-01 403.513824 604.820253 948.190022 1644.447907 3250.107629 7708.171783 2.849639e+04
2024-12-08 389.587447 593.549750 950.419757 1700.415402 3527.321552 9081.765539 4.063809e+04
2024-12-15 371.636498 573.607737 934.289115 1714.733690 3704.655931 10250.570915 5.510607e+04
2024-12-22 350.727350 547.998220 907.171406 1706.435054 3837.694918 11433.357615 7.557796e+04
2024-12-29 337.564317 535.274567 903.814886 1752.757899 4148.185966 13635.709086 1.228796e+05
2025-01-05 315.401621 504.190947 860.692590 1697.895762 4137.531458 14423.294647 1.600385e+05
2025-01-12 297.249808 479.136802 827.227753 1661.264592 4175.888211 15524.939289 2.217110e+05
2025-01-19 278.031018 450.741117 784.353729 1595.022968 4099.004302 15975.365010 2.798122e+05
2025-01-26 272.258276 447.246621 792.584837 1659.755463 4496.785079 19711.732642 6.296390e+05
2025-02-02 264.570649 439.443063 790.839295 1698.322613 4820.576480 23579.295979 1.569469e+06
2025-02-09 256.640483 430.550175 785.799579 1727.258751 5123.864798 27966.451580 5.233552e+06
2025-02-16 245.100090 413.749816 761.805477 1699.358398 5186.526652 30478.895203 1.595454e+07
2025-02-23 238.708927 406.790106 759.159087 1732.545315 5530.817654 36730.120929 8.810159e+08
2025-03-02 234.431223 403.772256 765.140151 1792.613817 6033.979878 46737.965433 NaN